December 4 - NCAA Women's Tournament Projections
2026 NCAA Women's Tournament Projections December 4
As the calendar winds down on 2025, I want to look ahead to who could receive a top 4 seed in the 2026 NCAA Women's Tournament.
Why stop the top 4 seeds?
Because those teams will have home court advantage in their first, and possible second games of the NCAA tournament.
There are some games tonight that will likely shift some of these teams up or down.
North Carolina plays at Texas. This could move North Carolina up a seed line with a win. A loss for Texas, especially in a close game, would not move them either direction as they have already beaten UCLA, and South Carolina.
Notre Dame plays at Ole Miss. The winner of this match up is solidly a top 4 seed. Right now, I give the slight edge to Notre Dame, but an valid argument could be made for Ole Miss. That argument would be solidified with an Ole Miss victory at home against Notre Dame.
As of the morning of December 4, 2025 here are who I project to be the top 4 seeds in the 2026 NCAA Women's Tournament.
#1 Seed
UConn
Texas
UCLA
South Carolina
#2 Seed
Michigan
Maryland
LSU
Iowa State
#3 Seed
TCU
Iowa
Oklahmoma
North Carolina
#4 Seed
Vanderbilt
Kentucky
Notre Dame
Baylor
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